Climate Change and Natural Hazards
After the recognition of climate change as a global security threat, a plethora of actors from all sectors embarked to advance our understanding of the pathways in which climate change is and will affect humans and their systems. To address the risks that climate change pose to peace, practitioners should harness these new technologies and apply them strategically in their interventions.
There are 37 resources related to Climate Change and Natural Hazards.
Toxic Floods? Climate, Natural Hazards and Risks to South Sudan’s Oil Infrastructure
2023
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PAX
Wim Zwijnenburg, Roberto Jaramillo Vasquez, and Jannis Hoch
The discovery and subsequent exploitation of oil fields in South Sudan has brought the country both wealth and woes. Armed conflicts and civil wars fought over…
Aqueduct: Using Cutting-Edge Data to Identify and Evaluate Water Risks around the World
2023
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World Resources Institute
Water risks are an urgent global challenge. Most public health crises are already driven by water, including floods, droughts and water-borne diseases. Climate change is…
Exploring Community Resilience and Early Warning Solution for Flash Floods, Debris Flow and Landslides in Conflict Prone Villages of Badakhshan, Afghanistan
2019
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International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction
Ashutosh Mohanty, Mujahid Hussain, M. Mishra, D.B. Kattel, and Indrajit Pal
There is a visible paradigm shift in disaster research from hazard and vulnerability assessment to developing framework for community resilience. Further, there is growing recognization…
Artificial Intelligence for Climate Security: Possibilities and Challenges
2023
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SIPRI
Kyungmee Kim and Vincent Boulanin
Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI)—largely based on machine learning—offer possibilities for addressing climate-related security risks. AI can, for example, be used for developing disaster…
Indexing Climatic and Environmental Exposure of Refugee Camps with a Case Study in East Africa
2023
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Nature Scientific Reports
Michael Owen, Andrew Kruczkiewicz, and Jamon Van Den Hoek
This study presents a novel approach to systematically measure climatic and environmental exposure in refugee camps using remote sensing and geospatial data. Using a case…
The Blue Peace Index 2019
2019
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Economist
The Blue Peace Index assesses management of shared water resources across five pillars: Policy & legal frameworks, Institutional arrangements & participation, Water management instruments, Infrastructure…
Civil Conflict Sensitivity to Growing-Season Drought
2016
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PNAS
Nina von Uexkull, Mihai Croicu, Hanne Fjelde, and Halvard Buhaug
To date, the research community has failed to reach a consensus on the nature and significance of the relationship between climate variability and armed conflict.…
Afghanistan Drought Early Warning Decision Support (AF-DEWS) Tool
2023
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International Water Management Institute
Giriraj Amarnath, Surajit Ghosh, and Niranga Alahacoon
This report summarizes the development of the Afghanistan Drought Early Warning Decision Support (AF-DEWS) Tool, a cloud-based online platform with near real-time information on drought…
Climate Change and Fragility: Improving Early Warning and Climate-Proofing Development and Conflict Interventions (chapter in "Handbook of Fragile States")
2023
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Elgar Handbooks in Political Science
Erin Sikorsky, Francesco Femia, and Brigitte Hugh
Climate change knows no political boundaries, yet political boundaries shape much of the response (or lack of response) to that change. In recent years, rapid…
Vulnerabilities and Inequalities Experienced by Women in the Climate Change Discourse in South Africa’s Rural Communities: Implications for Social Work
2020
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The British Journal of Social Work
Louis Nyahunda, Jabulani Calvin Makhubele, Vincent Mabvurira, and Frans Koketso Matlakala
Women’s vulnerability to climate-induced shocks hinges on a high dependence on climate-sensitive livelihoods and a natural resource base aggravated by the acute inequalities that they…
Strengthening Hydromet and Early Warning Services in Afghanistan: A Road Map
2018
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World Bank
Hydrological and meteorological (hydromet) data collection and analysis in Afghanistan started in the late 1940s and mid-1950s, respectively. The hydrometric network expanded rapidly in the…
The Effects of Migration on Livelihoods, Land Management, and Vulnerability to Natural Disasters in the Harpan Watershed in Western Nepal
2016
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Mountain Research and Development
Stéphanie Jaquet, Gitta Shrestha, Thomas Kohler, and Gudrun Schwilch
Migration is increasing in the middle hills of Nepal, and it has diverse consequences for the people remaining behind, their livelihoods, and the way they…
Artificial Intelligence for Climate Security: Possibilities and Challenges
2023
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Stockholm International Peace Research Institute
Kyungmee Kim and Vincent Boulanin
Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI)—largely based on machine learning—offer possibilities for addressing climate-related security risks. AI can, for example, be used for developing disaster…
Knowledge Gaps in the Nexus of Climate, Peace and Security
2023
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Cairo International Center for Conflict Resolution, Peacekeeping & Peacebuilding
Thor Olav Iversen and Fareeda Khalifa
There is a growing body of research on the relationship between climate change and peace and security. Research shows that the effects of climate change…
Military Responses to Climate Hazards (MiRCH) Tracker
2023
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Center for Climate and Security, Council on Strategic Risks
This map is based on a dataset regularly updated by CCS staff, based on publicly available information, tracking the date, location, actors, and circumstances of…
Traveling Virtually to the Pacific - The UN Uses Virtual Reality for Advocacy on Climate Security [Video]
2022
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UN Department of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs
Together with the Government of Japan, the UN Department of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs (UN DPPA) developed a Virtual Reality (VR) experience on climate change…
Modelling Armed Conflict Risk under Climate Change with Machine Learning and Time-Series Data
2022
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Nature Communications
Quansheng Ge, Mengmeng Hao, Fangyu Ding, Dong Jiang, Jürgen Scheffran, David Helman, and Tobias Ide
Understanding the risk of armed conflict is essential for promoting peace. Although the relationship between climate variability and armed conflict has been studied by the…
Projecting Long-Term Armed Conflict Risk: An Underappreciated Field of Inquiry?
2022
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Global Environmental Change
Sophie P. de Bruin, Jannis M. Hoch, Nina von Uexkull, Halvard Buhaug, Jolle Demmers, Hans Visser, and Niko Wanders
Little research has been done on projecting long-term conflict risks. Such projections are currently neither included in the development of socioeconomic scenarios or climate change…
Understanding the Nexus of Energy, Environment and Conflict: An Overview
2021
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Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
Samuel W. Kerber, Alexander Q. Gilbert, Mark R. Deinert, and Morgan D. Bazilian
Energy, environment, and conflict are each the subject of significant research efforts. However, their nexus has received relatively little attention, and even less when climatic…
Global Peace Index 2020: Measuring Peace in a Complex World
2020
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Institute for Economics & Peace
Institute for Economics & Peace
This is the 14th edition of the Global Peace Index (GPI), which ranks 163 independent states and territories according to their level of peacefulness. Produced…
Climate Security: The Role of Data and Disruptive Technologies for Climate Security
2020
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CGIAR
Alexandra Krendelsberger and Nam Nguyen
A systemic analysis of the role that climate, natural resource and food systems play in conflict and peace is key to design and implement interventions…
How Big Data and New Technologies Can Advance Climate Security [Audio]
2020
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UN Dispatch
Mark Leon Goldberg
How can data and novel technologies be put to better use in the service of peace building, resilience, and other aspects of climate security? In…
Soils of the Southern Syria – A Big Database for the Future Land Management Planning
2020
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Data in Brief
Safwan Mohammed, Hassan Habib, Haidar Ali, Sami AlHennaw, Samer Kiwan, Samar Ghanem, Karam Alsafadi, Eric C. Brevik, Magboul M. Suleiman, and Endre Harsányi
As non-renewable natural resources, restoring Syrian soil quality is a vital issue for sustainable future planning after conflict ends. The data provided in this research…
Leveraging Water Data in a Machine-Learning Based Model for Forecasting Violent Conflict
2020
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World Resources Institute
Samantha Kuzma, Peter Kerins, Elizabeth Saccoccia, Cayla Whiteside, Hannes Roos, and Charles Iceland
We present a methodology to forecast conflict (defined as organized violence resulting in at least 10 fatalities over a 12-month period) up to a year…
The Compounding Impacts of Climate Change and Environmental Degradation on the Insecurity of Indigenous Women in West Papua
2020
Szilvia Csevar
Located on the western half of the island of New Guinea, West Papua* is a militarized territory, site to a long-term conflict between Indonesia and…
Temperature Extremes, Global Warming, and Armed Conflict: New Insights From High Resolution Data
2019
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World Development
Miriam Breckner and Uwe Sunde
This paper contributes to the debate whether climate change and global warming cause conflicts by providing novel evidence about the role of extreme temperature events…
Beyond Richardson: Modeling Conflict in a World of Complexity and Climate Change
2018
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International Studies Association Annual Convention
Jürgen Scheffran
Richardson's pioneering work on modelling conflict and arms races has demonstrated that mathematics can contribute to peace and conflict research. Limitations of Richardson's model have…
Backdraft #9: Joshua Busby on Mapping Hotspots of Climate and Security Vulnerability [Podcast]
2017
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New Security Beat
Gretchen Johnson
Maps help us to grasp complex ideas, such as patterns of risk and vulnerability, but the stories they tell can have significant implications. “It’s very…
Accessing and Using Climate Data and Information in Fragile Data-Poor States
2015
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International Institute for Sustainable Development
Simon Mason, Andrew Kruczkiewicz, Pietro Ceccato, and Alec Crawford
The vulnerability of populations in fragile states to weather and climate variability is typically much higher than in other countries. These countries, and their populations,…
Charting Environmental Conflict -- The Atlas of Environmental Justice
2016
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The Ecologist
Nick Meynen
On 22 June, 100s of people came together in Brussels to mourn for Jo Cox. There was a minute of silence even in the Belgian…